Malpartida vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAL
64%
22%
14%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
MAL
1 - 1
DBN
14%
23%
62%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
SNV
2 - 2
MAL
61%
21%
18%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
MAL
4 - 0
VIL
21%
26%
54%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +3 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
EXT
3 - 0
MAL
93%
6%
1%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ORE
1 - 7
DBN
13%
23%
65%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
VIL
3 - 1
ORE
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ORE
1 - 3
CDB
16%
25%
60%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
ADP
3 - 1
ORE
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
ORE
0 - 4
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |