Malpartida vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PIO
2 - 0
MAL
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAB
2 - 3
MAL
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 3
TAL
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CRS
1 - 0
MAL
58%
19%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 2
CHI
23%
24%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 2
CAB
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TAL
0 - 0
AMA
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 1
CRS
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 3
AMA
50%
24%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 3
CFJ
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |