Malpartida vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 0
MAL
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 4
MIA
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CIU
2 - 3
MAL
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MAL
3 - 1
ADV
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TAL
3 - 0
MAL
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SJO
1 - 5
AMA
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 2
TRU
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MIA
0 - 0
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AMA
6 - 0
CIU
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ADV
2 - 2
AMA
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |