Malmö FF U21 vs Värnamo U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
KAL
0 - 3
MAL
26%
21%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 2
MAL
44%
21%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
MAL
1 - 2
HAL
55%
20%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HEL
6 - 0
MAL
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -3 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 1
LAN
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Värnamo U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
HEL
5 - 1
VAR
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 2
VAR
24%
20%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
KAL
71%
16%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
MJA
4 - 1
VAR
47%
21%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
MJA
43%
21%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |