UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 4-3
Malmö FF vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DEG
0 - 5
MFF
23%
24%
54%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
MFF
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MFF
4 - 0
SIR
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
MFF
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 2
MFF
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
OUL
2 - 1
HJK
12%
22%
65%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
BUD
0 - 4
HJK
34%
25%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
3 - 1
BUD
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
HIF
0 - 1
HJK
24%
26%
51%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 0
KOO
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |