Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
1º
1º
54
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 5
MFF
40%
25%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 4
MFF
25%
25%
51%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MFF
5 - 2
NOR
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MFF
1 - 1
VAR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 8
MFF
6%
14%
80%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 1
KAL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
2 - 0
KUO
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
1 - 3
GÖT
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
1 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HÄC
2 - 1
HIF
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |