Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 5-2
Malmö FF vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MFF
0 - 2
ZAL
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MFF
3 - 1
SIR
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 0
MFF
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
MFF
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
VIK
3 - 3
MFF
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
F91
1 - 4
PYU
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
PYU
0 - 1
F91
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
F91
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
F91
1 - 0
TIR
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
F91
2 - 3
RAC
57%
21%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |