Mallén vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SAB
3 - 0
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATL
26%
27%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FUE
2 - 0
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 1
UNI
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
UFC
4 - 1
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ATC
0 - 1
CFJ
29%
27%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ZUE
3 - 2
ATC
52%
25%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ATC
0 - 0
TER
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
ATC
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ATC
4 - 1
UDC
43%
27%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |