Colibríes de Malinalco vs Celaya Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colibríes de Malinalco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
VCF
3 - 2
MAL
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
COR
5 - 1
MAL
42%
24%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -3 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 1
COR
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
MAL
36%
25%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 3
CAL
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CEL
4 - 1
HID
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
LOB
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 0
GLA
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
GLA
2 - 1
CEL
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |