Colibríes de Malinalco vs Celaya Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colibríes de Malinalco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
HID
1 - 6
MAL
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 1
MAL
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 3
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 1
CAN
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CUA
2 - 1
MAL
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 3
CUA
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 2
GLA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
CEL
50%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 0
LOB
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |