Mali vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MTN
1 - 0
MLI
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
MLI
6 - 0
SWZ
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MLI
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 0
MLI
13%
22%
65%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 0
GNB
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MTN
1 - 0
MLI
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
MTN
1 - 0
CPV
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
MTN
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
MTN
0 - 1
EGY
10%
19%
71%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 0
MTN
85%
12%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |