Mali vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
6 - 0
MLI
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 1
MTN
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MTN
2 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MLI
4 - 0
GAM
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GAM
0 - 0
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
6 - 0
MLI
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
EGY
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
NED
13%
21%
66%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |