Mali vs Guinea-Bissau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 1
MLI
16%
21%
63%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
SSD
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
LBY
60%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 1
MLI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 3
MLI
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 1
MLI
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GNB
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GNB
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
GNB
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GNB
3 - 1
CTA
78%
15%
6%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |