Mali vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
UGA
1 - 1
MLI
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GHA
1 - 0
MLI
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
EGY
22%
23%
54%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MLI
1 - 2
BFA
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MLI
0 - 0
GAB
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
GAB
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CMR
0 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
BFA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
GNB
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |