Mali vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MLI
1 - 2
BFA
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MLI
0 - 0
GAB
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CIV
3 - 1
MLI
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MLI
5 - 2
BEN
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
15%
21%
64%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
EGY
2 - 0
GHA
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CGO
1 - 2
EGY
18%
25%
58%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 0
EGY
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |