Mali vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
COD
1 - 0
MLI
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
CTA
0 - 0
MLI
9%
20%
71%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
COM
0 - 3
MLI
15%
24%
62%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MLI
0 - 0
MTN
71%
20%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MTN
1 - 0
MLI
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MAD
0 - 1
COM
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
RSA
3 - 1
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
COM
0 - 0
BOT
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
XXK
4 - 2
COM
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
ZAM
0 - 1
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +2 |