Mali vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MLI
3 - 1
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MLI
0 - 2
GHA
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MLI
3 - 0
EQG
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
MLI
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 4
MLI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
BFA
2 - 3
CIV
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
MWI
0 - 1
BFA
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BFA
4 - 2
GUI
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
BFA
1 - 1
TOG
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BDI
1 - 3
BFA
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |