Mali vs The Democratic Republic Of Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 1
MLI
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SLE
1 - 2
MLI
17%
25%
59%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 3
MLI
10%
20%
71%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
COD
3 - 0
SLE
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
COD
0 - 1
BFA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COD
5 - 0
CHA
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
COD
12%
20%
69%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ALG
3 - 0
COD
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |