Mali vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 1
MLI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 3
MLI
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
MLI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 1
MLI
69%
18%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
MLI
1 - 1
CMR
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBY
67%
22%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RWA
3 - 0
LBY
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
GHA
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
LBY
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |