Mali U20 vs Zambia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 4
MEX
8%
17%
75%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
MLI
0 - 0
GRC
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
MLI
81%
13%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 1
MLI
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
MLI
0 - 0
GHA
8%
17%
74%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAM
1 - 0
ZAM
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 2
MLI
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
RSA
1 - 5
ZAM
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 2
NGA
9%
18%
74%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
URU
0 - 2
ZAM
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | +2 |