Mali U20 vs Ruanda U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 1
MLI
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 0
MLI
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
MLI
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MLI
0 - 2
KOR
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
MLI
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ruanda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 1
MLI
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 2
GHA
4%
13%
83%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
RWA
1 - 1
CMR
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 1
MLI
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |