Malgrat vs Quart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malgrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 1
MAL
74%
15%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
SVI
45%
23%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 3
MAL
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MAL
2 - 1
ARB
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
MAL
47%
22%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
QRT
1 - 1
LLO
77%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SCO
0 - 0
QRT
11%
16%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
QRT
4 - 1
HOS
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ANG
0 - 2
QRT
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
QRT
5 - 0
FAR
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |