Malgrat vs Caldes Montbui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malgrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 5
MAL
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 0
OAR
53%
23%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
MAL
70%
18%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 4
UDT
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 2
MAL
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caldes Montbui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CMB
3 - 0
TOR
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CMB
4 - 1
UDT
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 3
CMB
32%
23%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CMB
1 - 1
GUR
49%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 0
CMB
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |