Malgrat vs Begur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
+197%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malgrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 1
MAL
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 2
VIL
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LMA
0 - 3
MAL
46%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 1
CAS
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BRD
0 - 2
MAL
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BEG
9 - 2
CAG
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LLO
3 - 1
BEG
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BEG
1 - 2
TOR
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
BEG
55%
20%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BEG
2 - 0
CAL
35%
22%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |