Maldon & Tiptree vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 1
MAL
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 1
MAL
40%
29%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 1
FLA
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
YEL
0 - 1
MAL
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ENF
0 - 1
MAL
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
WIN
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 4
WAL
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 0
WIN
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
WIN
5 - 1
ILF
78%
14%
7%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 1
ENF
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |