Maldon & Tiptree vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 1
MAL
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
MAL
4 - 3
AVE
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BER
2 - 1
MAL
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
WIV
0 - 0
MAL
44%
24%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MAL
2 - 5
FAF
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
3 - 0
SIT
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
HAR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WIV
5 - 2
WIN
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
ARL
2 - 3
WIN
45%
24%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 2
AVE
43%
24%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |