Maldon & Tiptree vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
MAL
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 1
HOR
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 0
BAR
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAL
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
HEY
1 - 2
MAL
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
THA
1 - 2
YEL
27%
25%
47%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
YEL
3 - 0
TIL
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
YEL
0 - 4
THU
55%
22%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RED
0 - 4
YEL
9%
19%
72%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 1
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |