Maldon & Tiptree vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 2
MAL
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 1
SOH
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TIL
1 - 1
MAL
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 1
LEI
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
HEY
1 - 0
MAL
32%
25%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 3
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 4
HEY
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 0
YEL
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
THA
2 - 1
YEL
26%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
YEL
4 - 1
SOH
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |