Maldives vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
MAS
0 - 1
MDV
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MDV
5 - 0
BTN
79%
13%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MDV
3 - 2
PHL
56%
20%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
MDV
1 - 3
TKM
35%
24%
42%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LKA
1 - 1
MDV
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
NPL
1 - 1
KGZ
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
NPL
0 - 0
PLE
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
NPL
2 - 2
AFG
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
MAS
4 - 0
NPL
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |