Maldives vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2008 |
MDV
3 - 0
PAK
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
MDV
1 - 2
LBN
13%
18%
69%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
LBN
4 - 0
MDV
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
MDV
2 - 0
YEM
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
YEM
3 - 0
MDV
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2008 |
IND
4 - 0
NPL
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
KHM
0 - 1
NPL
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
NPL
3 - 2
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
THA
7 - 0
NPL
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
NPL
0 - 2
PAK
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |