Malawi vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
58.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 1
NAM
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
MWI
42%
27%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MWI
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MWI
1 - 0
TOG
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 2
MWI
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
JOR
3 - 3
TUN
29%
29%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
TUN
4 - 2
MLI
59%
24%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
TUN
5 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
2%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TUN
3 - 0
CTA
86%
12%
2%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
OMA
2 - 1
TUN
36%
28%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |