Malawi vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MWI
3 - 2
ETH
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
UGA
0 - 0
MWI
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 2
ALG
23%
28%
50%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 1
ALG
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 1
RUS
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
KOR
2 - 4
ALG
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |