Malawi vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
MWI
42%
27%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MWI
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MWI
1 - 0
TOG
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 2
MWI
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
MWI
1 - 1
ETH
48%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 4
BFA
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BFA
4 - 0
NAM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAM
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 2
MWI
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
IND
2 - 0
NAM
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |