Malawi vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
MWI
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
MWI
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
MWI
0 - 0
KEN
41%
25%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
MWI
1 - 0
EGY
18%
28%
54%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
LSO
1 - 1
NAM
36%
25%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 3
NAM
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
4 - 0
NAM
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
2 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |