Malawi vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
GUI
2 - 1
MWI
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1969 |
MWI
2 - 2
ZIM
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1969 |
ZAM
7 - 0
MWI
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
ZAM
5 - 0
MWI
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1969 |
ZAM
4 - 0
MWI
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
ZIM
2 - 3
MUS
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
ZIM
1 - 2
MUS
76%
14%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |