Malaka vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1386%
+285%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 1
MLK
23%
21%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FUT
1 - 2
MLK
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MLK
3 - 0
CDL
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MIJ
0 - 1
MLK
31%
25%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MLK
1 - 0
CHU
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
4 - 0
CAM
30%
23%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CDA
3 - 0
PEN
53%
20%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
FUT
57%
20%
24%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CDL
3 - 3
PEN
41%
25%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 3
MIJ
37%
24%
39%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |