Málaga vs Valencia analysis

Málaga Valencia
87 ELO 89
4.6% Tilt -2%
605º General ELO ranking 54º
37º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Málaga
26.3%
Draw
33.4%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
Málaga
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.4%
Win probability
Valencia
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Málaga
-2%
+4%
Valencia

ELO progression

Málaga
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2012
ZEN
Zenit
2 - 2
Málaga
MAL
43%
26%
31%
87 86 1 0
17 Nov. 2012
OSA
Osasuna
0 - 0
Málaga
MAL
36%
27%
37%
87 85 2 0
10 Nov. 2012
MAL
Málaga
1 - 2
Real Sociedad
RSO
67%
20%
13%
87 81 6 0
06 Nov. 2012
ACM
Milan
1 - 1
Málaga
MAL
54%
24%
22%
87 89 2 0
03 Nov. 2012
MAL
Málaga
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
67%
19%
14%
88 80 8 -1

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2012
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
28%
23%
49%
89 93 4 0
17 Nov. 2012
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
75%
16%
9%
89 84 5 0
11 Nov. 2012
VAD
Real Valladolid
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
27%
26%
47%
89 82 7 0
07 Nov. 2012
VCF
Valencia
4 - 2
BATE Borisov
BAT
80%
14%
6%
89 78 11 0
03 Nov. 2012
VCF
Valencia
2 - 0
Atlético
ATM
40%
25%
36%
89 91 2 0