Málaga vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAL
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 2
LEG
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
MAJ
1 - 0
MAL
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
EIB
2 - 2
MAL
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 2
SDA
61%
25%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
VIL
7%
17%
75%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
IBI
0 - 2
SPO
33%
30%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
HUE
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |