Málaga vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
28.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 2
MAL
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 0
UDL
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RAY
4 - 0
MAL
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALC
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAL
15%
29%
56%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
CDT
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
OVI
1 - 0
SPO
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIR
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPO
20%
28%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |