Málaga vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ATM
4 - 2
MAL
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 0
LEG
66%
22%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 1
MAL
24%
28%
49%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 1
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
BET
1 - 0
MAL
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
VCF
31%
26%
44%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
RSO
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |