Málaga vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
RAC
1 - 1
MAL
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 0
NUM
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
DEP
2 - 0
MAL
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MAL
4 - 2
OSA
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MLL
2 - 2
MAL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ATH
3 - 0
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 5
ATM
26%
27%
48%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 1
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 2
BET
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |