Málaga vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 2
MAL
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MAL
3 - 0
SEV
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
OVI
2 - 2
MAL
42%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
MAL
1 - 2
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
VCF
2 - 2
MAL
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
RAY
2 - 0
DEP
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ATH
1 - 2
RAY
61%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
RAY
0 - 0
NUM
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAY
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
RAY
4 - 1
VAD
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |