Málaga vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
22.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
GIR
0 - 1
MAL
49%
28%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MAL
1 - 2
LEG
32%
31%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PON
1 - 1
MAL
27%
30%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SAB
1 - 2
MAL
17%
29%
55%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 3
ESP
23%
28%
49%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
OVI
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 1
LUG
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
RAY
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |