Málaga vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 0
MAL
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 0
XER
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
POL
4 - 1
MAL
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
CIU
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
UDL
2 - 1
MAL
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
ELC
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PON
2 - 1
LOR
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SLA
2 - 1
LOR
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 2
VAD
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
XER
1 - 0
LOR
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |