Málaga vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
MAL
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAL
3 - 0
MLL
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LEV
3 - 1
MAL
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 0
ESP
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 1
HER
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
ESP
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RSO
1 - 3
HER
47%
29%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HER
0 - 4
OSA
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |