Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-6
Málaga vs Córdoba CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SEV
4 - 1
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 1
GRA
60%
22%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VCF
2 - 2
MAL
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
CCF
2 - 0
MAL
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 3
DEP
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Córdoba CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
OVI
1 - 2
CCF
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CCF
1 - 3
CAD
58%
24%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
REU
1 - 2
CCF
26%
29%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
CCF
2 - 0
MAL
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CCF
1 - 3
GET
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |