Primera RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Málaga vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RMC
1 - 2
MAL
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
ANT
57%
27%
17%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAL
20%
27%
53%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
MAD
61%
26%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 2
FCB
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
CEL
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
MAJ
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
CEL
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |