Málaga vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 2
MAL
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 0
OVI
26%
29%
45%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 1
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 3
EIB
17%
25%
58%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 3
MAL
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
BUR
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 2
ALM
17%
26%
57%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BUR
55%
28%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 1
IBI
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |