Málaga C vs UD Villanueva Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
MAL
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 0
CDU
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
YEG
1 - 5
MAL
13%
16%
71%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAL
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 1
CAM
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Villanueva Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UDV
2 - 1
CAM
18%
18%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
UDV
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDV
4 - 0
ALH
37%
24%
39%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FUE
4 - 1
UDV
88%
9%
3%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UDV
0 - 1
CDM
25%
23%
53%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |