Málaga C vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
0 - 0
MAL
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 3
CAL
71%
16%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 1
MAL
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
UDV
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
MAL
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NER
4 - 1
CAM
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
NER
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NER
2 - 0
ALH
68%
18%
15%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 1
NER
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NER
2 - 0
CDM
20%
22%
58%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |